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Monday SITREP: Global Ratings
NATO Chief: Ukraine Territory 'On Table', Four Al Jazeera Journalists Killed by IDF, Uganda Denies Besigye Bail in Treason Case
Andrew Sheves
August 11, 2025 • Time to Enlightenment...6 minutes
Good morning.
🇺🇦 NATO Chief: Ukraine Territory 'On Table'
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said this week's Trump-Putin summit in Alaska may open negotiations about Ukrainian territory, suggesting Ukraine could acknowledge Russia's de facto control without formal sovereignty recognition. Rutte's comments come as European leaders conduct "frenetic rounds" of virtual meetings to devise strategy before Friday's summit, fearing Ukraine could be pressured into accepting significant territorial losses. Vice President JD Vance expects a "very simple" outcome based on current battle lines, while Zelensky maintains Ukraine "won't - and constitutionally can't - cede territory," warning against accepting Putin's "spin" on negotiations as European officials reaffirm that "international borders must not be changed by force." More - Bloomberg
🇵🇸 Four Al Jazeera Journalists Killed by IDF
Four Al Jazeera journalists were killed in an Israeli strike near Gaza City's Al-Shifa Hospital while in a tent at the hospital's main gate, including correspondents Anas al-Sharif and Mohammed Qreiqeh and cameramen Ibrahim Zaher and Mohammed Noufal. The IDF confirmed targeting al-Sharif, claiming he "served as the head of a terrorist cell in Hamas" and was "responsible for advancing rocket attacks," though Al Jazeera had previously condemned what it called the IDF's "campaign of incitement" against its reporters. Al-Sharif, 28, had been posting warnings about intense Israeli bombardment moments before his death, with the killings bringing the total number of journalists confirmed dead since October 2023 to 186 according to the Committee to Protect Journalists. More - BBC
Note - Al Jazeera has updated this number to five killed Al Jazeera
🇺🇬 Uganda Denies Besigye Bail in Treason Case
A Ugandan judge refused bail for veteran opposition leader Kizza Besigye, who has been jailed for nearly nine months on treason charges, ruling he falls 12 days short of the 180-day maximum period for mandatory bail. Judge Emmanuel Baguma said the period only began when Besigye was remanded to civilian court in February, despite his lawyers arguing he should be automatically released. The case has raised concerns about a government crackdown ahead of next year's national election where 80-year-old President Yoweri Museveni seeks re-election, with Besigye having been forcefully returned from Kenya last November and initially charged in military court before transfer to civilian jurisdiction. More - Al Jazeera
Global Stability Ratings
Reminder: these ratings are generated by the Decis analysis engine, based on events in that location and how these correlate to the Decis stability matrix.
🇦🇫 Afghanistan is Unstable 🇦🇱 Albania is Weak 🇩🇿 Algeria is Weak 🇦🇩 Andorra is Stable 🇦🇴 Angola is Weak 🇦🇬 Antigua and Barbuda is Stable 🇦🇷 Argentina is Stable 🇦🇲 Armenia is Weak 🇦🇺 Australia is Stable 🇦🇹 Austria is Weak 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan is Weak 🇧🇭 Bahrain is Weak 🇧🇩 Bangladesh is Weak 🇧🇧 Barbados is Stable 🇧🇾 Belarus is Unstable 🇧🇪 Belgium is Stable 🇧🇿 Belize is Weak 🇧🇯 Benin is Weak 🇧🇹 Bhutan is Stable 🇧🇴 Bolivia is Weak 🇧🇦 Bosnia And Herzegovina is Weak 🇧🇼 Botswana is Stable 🇧🇷 Brazil is Weak 🇧🇳 Brunei is Stable 🇧🇬 Bulgaria is Weak 🇧🇫 Burkina Faso is Unstable 🇧🇮 Burundi is Weak 🇰🇭 Cambodia is Weak 🇨🇲 Cameroon is Weak 🇨🇦 Canada is Stable 🇨🇻 Cape Verde is Stable 🇨🇫 Central African Republic is Unstable 🇹🇩 Chad is Unstable 🇨🇱 Chile is Stable 🇨🇳 China is Stable 🇨🇴 Colombia is Weak 🇰🇲 Comoros is Weak 🇨🇷 Costa Rica is Stable 🇭🇷 Croatia is Stable 🇨🇺 Cuba is Weak 🇨🇾 Cyprus is Stable 🇨🇿 Czech Republic is Stable 🇨🇩 Democratic Republic Of The Congo is Unstable 🇩🇰 Denmark is Stable 🇩🇯 Djibouti is Stable 🇩🇲 Dominica is Stable 🇩🇴 Dominican Republic is Weak 🇹🇱 East Timor is Stable 🇪🇨 Ecuador is Weak 🇪🇬 Egypt is Weak 🇸🇻 El Salvador is Weak 🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea is Unstable 🇪🇷 Eritrea is Unstable 🇪🇪 Estonia is Stable 🇸🇿 Eswatini is Weak 🇪🇹 Ethiopia is Unstable 🇫🇲 Federated States of Micronesia is Stable 🇫🇯 Fiji is Weak 🇫🇮 Finland is Stable 🇫🇷 France is Weak 🇬🇦 Gabon is Unstable 🇬🇪 Georgia is Weak 🇩🇪 Germany is Stable 🇬🇭 Ghana is Stable 🇬🇷 Greece is Weak 🇬🇩 Grenada is Stable 🇬🇹 Guatemala is Weak 🇬🇳 Guinea is Unstable 🇬🇼 Guinea-Bissau is Unstable 🇬🇾 Guyana is Weak 🇭🇹 Haiti is Unstable 🇭🇳 Honduras is Unstable 🇭🇺 Hungary is Weak 🇮🇸 Iceland is Weak 🇮🇳 India is Weak 🇮🇩 Indonesia is Weak 🇮🇷 Iran is Weak 🇮🇶 Iraq is Unstable 🇮🇪 Ireland is Weak 🇮🇱 Israel is Weak 🇮🇹 Italy is Stable 🇨🇮 Ivory Coast is Weak 🇯🇲 Jamaica is Weak 🇯🇵 Japan is Weak 🇯🇴 Jordan is Weak 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan is Weak 🇰🇪 Kenya is Weak 🇰🇮 Kiribati is Weak 🇰🇼 Kuwait is Stable 🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan is Weak 🇱🇦 Laos is Weak 🇱🇻 Latvia is Stable 🇱🇧 Lebanon is Unstable 🇱🇸 Lesotho is Weak 🇱🇷 Liberia is Weak 🇱🇾 Libya is Unstable 🇱🇮 Liechtenstein is Stable | 🇱🇹 Lithuania is Weak 🇱🇺 Luxembourg is Stable 🇲🇰 North Macedonia is Weak 🇲🇬 Madagascar is Weak 🇲🇼 Malawi is Weak 🇲🇾 Malaysia is Stable 🇲🇻 Maldives is Stable 🇲🇱 Mali is Unstable 🇲🇹 Malta is Stable 🇲🇭 Marshall Islands is Stable 🇲🇷 Mauritania is Weak 🇲🇺 Mauritius is Stable 🇲🇽 Mexico is Weak 🇲🇩 Moldova is Weak 🇲🇨 Monaco is Stable 🇲🇳 Mongolia is Stable 🇲🇪 Montenegro is Weak 🇲🇦 Morocco is Stable 🇲🇿 Mozambique is Weak 🇲🇲 Myanmar is Unstable 🇳🇦 Namibia is Stable 🇳🇷 Nauru is Weak 🇳🇵 Nepal is Stable 🇳🇱 Netherlands is Stable 🇳🇿 New Zealand is Stable 🇳🇮 Nicaragua is Unstable 🇳🇪 Niger is Unstable 🇳🇬 Nigeria is Unstable 🇰🇵 North Korea is Unstable 🇳🇴 Norway is Stable 🇴🇲 Oman is Stable 🇵🇰 Pakistan is Weak 🇵🇼 Palau is Stable 🇵🇦 Panama is Stable 🇵🇬 Papua New Guinea is Weak 🇵🇾 Paraguay is Weak 🇵🇪 Peru is Weak 🇵🇭 Philippines is Weak 🇵🇱 Poland is Weak 🇵🇹 Portugal is Stable 🇶🇦 Qatar is Stable 🇨🇬 Republic of the Congo is Weak 🇷🇴 Romania is Stable 🇷🇺 Russia is Weak 🇷🇼 Rwanda is Stable 🇰🇳 Saint Kitts and Nevis is Stable 🇱🇨 Saint Lucia is Weak 🇻🇨 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines is Stable 🇼🇸 Samoa is Stable 🇸🇲 San Marino is Stable 🇸🇹 São Tomé and Príncipe is Stable 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia is Weak 🇸🇳 Senegal is Stable 🇷🇸 Serbia is Weak 🇸🇱 Sierra Leone is Weak 🇸🇬 Singapore is Stable 🇸🇰 Slovakia is Stable 🇸🇮 Slovenia is Stable 🇸🇧 Solomon Islands is Weak 🇸🇴 Somalia is Unstable 🇿🇦 South Africa is Weak 🇰🇷 South Korea is Stable 🇸🇸 South Sudan is Critically Unstable 🇪🇸 Spain is Weak 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka is Weak 🇸🇩 Sudan is Unstable 🇸🇷 Suriname is Weak 🇸🇪 Sweden is Stable 🇨🇭 Switzerland is Stable 🇸🇾 Syria is Critically Unstable 🇹🇼 Taiwan is Stable 🇹🇯 Tajikistan is Weak 🇹🇿 Tanzania is Weak 🇹🇭 Thailand is Weak 🇧🇸 The Bahamas is Stable 🇬🇲 The Gambia is Stable 🇹🇬 Togo is Weak 🇹🇴 Tonga is Weak 🇹🇹 Trinidad and Tobago is Weak 🇹🇳 Tunisia is Unstable 🇹🇷 Turkey is Weak 🇹🇲 Turkmenistan is Unstable 🇹🇻 Tuvalu is Weak 🇺🇬 Uganda is Weak 🇺🇦 Ukraine is Unstable 🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates is Stable 🇬🇧 United Kingdom is Stable 🇺🇸 United States Of America is Stable 🇺🇾 Uruguay is Stable 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan is Stable 🇻🇺 Vanuatu is Weak 🇻🇪 Venezuela is Unstable 🇻🇳 Vietnam is Stable 🇪🇭 Western Sahara is Weak 🇾🇪 Yemen is Critically Unstable 🇿🇲 Zambia is Weak 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe is Weak |
Carpe tomorrow!
