Monday SITREP: Global Ratings

Taiwan Recall Election Fails, Boosts China, EU-US Trade Deal

Good morning.

🇹🇼 Taiwan Recall Election Fails, Boosts China

All 24 Kuomintang lawmakers survived recall elections in Taiwan, dealing a blow to President Lai Ching-te's Democratic Progressive Party and preserving the opposition's 62-51 legislative majority that blocks defense spending increases. The landslide defeat hands Beijing new ammunition to claim Lai lacks popular support, with China's Taiwan Affairs Office saying the results show the DPP's "political manipulation" lacks backing. Analysts warn the outcome may embolden Beijing's pressure campaign while removing incentives for opposition lawmakers to moderate positions on military spending that Trump has demanded Taiwan increase for US protection. More - Bloomberg

🇪🇺 🇺🇸 EU-US Trade Deal

The EU and US agreed a trade deal imposing 15% tariffs on European exports to America after "tough negotiations" between Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at Trump's Scottish golf course. The agreement includes EU commitments to boost US investment by $600 billion, purchase hundreds of billions in American military equipment, and spend $750 billion on US energy including liquified natural gas to reduce European reliance on Russian power sources. The deal represents a compromise for both sides, with the EU avoiding worse tariffs while the US expects roughly $90 billion in tariff revenue plus massive investment inflows. More - BBC

Global Stability Ratings

🇦🇫 Afghanistan is Unstable

🇦🇱 Albania is Weak

🇩🇿 Algeria is Weak

🇦🇩 Andorra is Stable

🇦🇴 Angola is Weak

🇦🇬 Antigua and Barbuda is Stable

🇦🇷 Argentina is Weak

🇦🇲 Armenia is Weak

🇦🇺 Australia is Stable

🇦🇹 Austria is Stable

🇦🇿 Azerbaijan is Weak

🇧🇭 Bahrain is Weak

🇧🇩 Bangladesh is Weak

🇧🇧 Barbados is Stable

🇧🇾 Belarus is Unstable

🇧🇪 Belgium is Weak

🇧🇿 Belize is Weak

🇧🇯 Benin is Weak

🇧🇹 Bhutan is Stable

🇧🇴 Bolivia is Weak

🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina is Weak

🇧🇼 Botswana is Stable

🇧🇷 Brazil is Weak

🇧🇳 Brunei is Stable

🇧🇬 Bulgaria is Weak

🇧🇫 Burkina Faso is Unstable

🇧🇮 Burundi is Weak

🇰🇭 Cambodia is Weak

🇨🇲 Cameroon is Weak

🇨🇦 Canada is Weak

🇨🇻 Cape Verde is Stable

🇨🇫 Central African Republic is Unstable

🇹🇩 Chad is Unstable

🇨🇱 Chile is Stable

🇨🇳 China is Stable

🇨🇴 Colombia is Weak

🇰🇲 Comoros is Weak

🇨🇷 Costa Rica is Stable

🇭🇷 Croatia is Stable

🇨🇺 Cuba is Weak

🇨🇾 Cyprus is Stable

🇨🇿 Czech Republic is Stable

🇨🇩 Democratic Republic Of The Congo is Unstable

🇩🇰 Denmark is Stable

🇩🇯 Djibouti is Weak

🇩🇲 Dominica is Stable

🇩🇴 Dominican Republic is Weak

🇹🇱 East Timor is Stable

🇪🇨 Ecuador is Weak

🇪🇬 Egypt is Weak

🇸🇻 El Salvador is Unstable

🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea is Unstable

🇪🇷 Eritrea is Unstable

🇪🇪 Estonia is Stable

🇸🇿 Eswatini is Weak

🇪🇹 Ethiopia is Weak

🇫🇲 Federated States of Micronesia is Stable

🇫🇯 Fiji is Stable

🇫🇮 Finland is Stable

🇫🇷 France is Weak

🇬🇦 Gabon is Unstable

🇬🇪 Georgia is Weak

🇩🇪 Germany is Stable

🇬🇭 Ghana is Stable

🇬🇷 Greece is Weak

🇬🇩 Grenada is Stable

🇬🇹 Guatemala is Weak

🇬🇳 Guinea is Unstable

🇬🇼 Guinea-Bissau is Unstable

🇬🇾 Guyana is Stable

🇭🇹 Haiti is Unstable

🇭🇳 Honduras is Unstable

🇭🇺 Hungary is Weak

🇮🇸 Iceland is Stable

🇮🇳 India is Stable

🇮🇩 Indonesia is Weak

🇮🇷 Iran is Weak

🇮🇶 Iraq is Unstable

🇮🇪 Ireland is Stable

🇮🇱 Israel is Weak

🇮🇹 Italy is Weak

🇨🇮 Ivory Coast is Weak

🇯🇲 Jamaica is Weak

🇯🇵 Japan is Stable

🇯🇴 Jordan is Weak

🇰🇿 Kazakhstan is Stable

🇰🇪 Kenya is Weak

🇰🇮 Kiribati is Weak

🇰🇼 Kuwait is Stable

🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan is Weak

🇱🇦 Laos is Weak

🇱🇻 Latvia is Stable

🇱🇧 Lebanon is Unstable

🇱🇸 Lesotho is Weak

🇱🇷 Liberia is Weak

🇱🇾 Libya is Unstable

🇱🇮 Liechtenstein is Stable

🇱🇹 Lithuania is Stable

🇱🇺 Luxembourg is Highly Stable

🇲🇰 Macedonia is Weak

🇲🇬 Madagascar is Weak

🇲🇼 Malawi is Weak

🇲🇾 Malaysia is Stable

🇲🇻 Maldives is Weak

🇲🇱 Mali is Unstable

🇲🇹 Malta is Stable

🇲🇭 Marshall Islands is Weak

🇲🇷 Mauritania is Weak

🇲🇺 Mauritius is Stable

🇲🇽 Mexico is Weak

🇲🇩 Moldova is Weak

🇲🇨 Monaco is Stable

🇲🇳 Mongolia is Stable

🇲🇪 Montenegro is Weak

🇲🇦 Morocco is Stable

🇲🇿 Mozambique is Weak

🇲🇲 Myanmar is Unstable

🇳🇦 Namibia is Stable

🇳🇷 Nauru is Weak

🇳🇵 Nepal is Weak

🇳🇱 Netherlands is Stable

🇳🇿 New Zealand is Stable

🇳🇮 Nicaragua is Unstable

🇳🇪 Niger is Unstable

🇳🇬 Nigeria is Unstable

🇰🇵 North Korea is Unstable

🇳🇴 Norway is Stable

🇴🇲 Oman is Stable

🇵🇰 Pakistan is Weak

🇵🇼 Palau is Stable

🇵🇦 Panama is Stable

🇵🇬 Papua New Guinea is Weak

🇵🇾 Paraguay is Stable

🇵🇪 Peru is Weak

🇵🇭 Philippines is Weak

🇵🇱 Poland is Weak

🇵🇹 Portugal is Stable

🇶🇦 Qatar is Stable

🇨🇬 Republic of the Congo is Weak

🇷🇴 Romania is Stable

🇷🇺 Russia is Unstable

🇷🇼 Rwanda is Stable

🇰🇳 Saint Kitts and Nevis is Stable

🇱🇨 Saint Lucia is Weak

🇻🇨 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines is Stable

🇼🇸 Samoa is Stable

🇸🇲 San Marino is Stable

🇸🇹 São Tomé and Príncipe is Stable

🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia is Weak

🇸🇳 Senegal is Stable

🇷🇸 Serbia is Weak

🇸🇱 Sierra Leone is Weak

🇸🇬 Singapore is Stable

🇸🇰 Slovakia is Stable

🇸🇮 Slovenia is Stable

🇸🇧 Solomon Islands is Weak

🇸🇴 Somalia is Unstable

🇿🇦 South Africa is Weak

🇰🇷 South Korea is Stable

🇸🇸 South Sudan is Critically Unstable

🇪🇸 Spain is Weak

🇱🇰 Sri Lanka is Weak

🇸🇩 Sudan is Unstable

🇸🇷 Suriname is Weak

🇸🇪 Sweden is Stable

🇨🇭 Switzerland is Stable

🇸🇾 Syria is Critically Unstable

🇹🇼 Taiwan is Stable

🇹🇯 Tajikistan is Weak

🇹🇿 Tanzania is Weak

🇹🇭 Thailand is Weak

🇧🇸 The Bahamas is Stable

🇬🇲 The Gambia is Weak

🇹🇬 Togo is Weak

🇹🇴 Tonga is Weak

🇹🇹 Trinidad and Tobago is Weak

🇹🇳 Tunisia is Weak

🇹🇷 Turkey is Weak

🇹🇲 Turkmenistan is Weak

🇹🇻 Tuvalu is Weak

🇺🇬 Uganda is Weak

🇺🇦 Ukraine is Unstable

🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates is Stable

🇬🇧 United Kingdom is Stable

🇺🇸 United States Of America is Stable

🇺🇾 Uruguay is Stable

🇺🇿 Uzbekistan is Weak

🇻🇺 Vanuatu is Weak

🇻🇪 Venezuela is Unstable

🇻🇳 Vietnam is Stable

🇪🇭 Western Sahara is Weak

🇾🇪 Yemen is Critically Unstable

🇿🇲 Zambia is Stable

🇿🇼 Zimbabwe is Weak

Carpe tomorrow!