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Monday SITREP: Global Ratings
Milei Suffers Buenos Aires Landslide Defeat, Russia Hits Kyiv Government Building, Israel Intensifies Gaza Bombardment
Andrew Sheves
September 08, 2025 • Time to Enlightenment...7 minutes
Good morning.
🇦🇷 Milei Suffers Buenos Aires Landslide Defeat
Argentine President Javier Milei's La Libertad Avanza party suffered a resounding defeat in Buenos Aires province, winning only 34% compared to 47% for the center-left Peronist opposition in a vote seen as a bellwether for October's national midterms. Milei acknowledged the "clear defeat" but vowed no changes to his free-market economic program while promising "deep self-critique," as investors brace for losses with the peso already sliding above 1,400 per dollar and bonds underperforming emerging-market peers. The libertarian president faced headwinds including a graft scandal involving alleged kickbacks benefiting his sister Karina, stone-throwing incidents during campaigning, and economic contraction for three straight months with formal job losses since January, while barred former president Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner celebrated from her balcony under house arrest after her corruption conviction. More - Bloomberg
🇺🇦 Russia Hits Kyiv Government Building
Russia struck Ukraine's main government building in Kyiv for the first time since the full-scale invasion began, damaging the cabinet of ministers building's roof and upper floors during a record attack involving over 800 drones and missiles. At least four people died across Ukraine including a baby and young woman killed when a nine-storey residential building was hit in Kyiv, while 17 were injured in Zaporizhzhia strikes on homes and a nursery. President Zelensky condemned the "ruthless attack" as a "deliberate crime" occurring when "real diplomacy could have started," while the symbolic strike on the heavily defended city center demonstrates Putin's intensification of attacks despite recent peace talks, as 26 Ukrainian allies formally committed to deploying troops "by land, sea or air" for post-ceasefire security guarantees that Putin warned would be "legitimate targets." More - BBC
🇵🇸 Israel Intensifies Gaza Bombardment
Israel bombed the five-storey Al-Ruya Tower in Gaza City after issuing evacuation threats, bringing the total number of destroyed buildings to at least 50 during its campaign to seize the city as it killed 65 people across Gaza including 49 in the north. The tower housed 24 apartments plus shops, a clinic and gym, while Israeli forces also struck the al-Farabi school shelter killing at least eight including children, with witnesses reporting teams still searching rubble for missing people. Netanyahu claimed the military was "eliminating terrorist infrastructure," though Palestinians warn no safe zones exist as Israel's approved occupation plan has displaced 100,000 from Gaza City, while five more people including three children starved to death bringing malnutrition deaths to 387 since the war began, as Trump suggested a new "final warning" ceasefire proposal that Hamas said it welcomes efforts toward lasting peace. More - Al Jazeera
Global Stability Ratings
Reminder: these ratings are generated by the Decis analysis engine, based on events in that location and how these correlate to the Decis stability matrix.
🇦🇫 Afghanistan is Unstable 🇦🇱 Albania is Stable 🇩🇿 Algeria is Weak 🇦🇩 Andorra is Stable 🇦🇴 Angola is Weak 🇦🇬 Antigua and Barbuda is Stable 🇦🇷 Argentina is Weak 🇦🇲 Armenia is Weak 🇦🇺 Australia is Weak 🇦🇹 Austria is Stable 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan is Weak 🇧🇭 Bahrain is Weak 🇧🇩 Bangladesh is Weak 🇧🇧 Barbados is Stable 🇧🇾 Belarus is Weak 🇧🇪 Belgium is Weak 🇧🇿 Belize is Weak 🇧🇯 Benin is Weak 🇧🇹 Bhutan is Weak 🇧🇴 Bolivia is Weak 🇧🇦 Bosnia And Herzegovina is Weak 🇧🇼 Botswana is Stable 🇧🇷 Brazil is Weak 🇧🇳 Brunei is Stable 🇧🇬 Bulgaria is Weak 🇧🇫 Burkina Faso is Unstable 🇧🇮 Burundi is Weak 🇰🇭 Cambodia is Weak 🇨🇲 Cameroon is Weak 🇨🇦 Canada is Stable 🇨🇻 Cape Verde is Weak 🇨🇫 Central African Republic is Unstable 🇹🇩 Chad is Unstable 🇨🇱 Chile is Stable 🇨🇳 China is Weak 🇨🇴 Colombia is Unstable 🇰🇲 Comoros is Weak 🇨🇷 Costa Rica is Stable 🇭🇷 Croatia is Stable 🇨🇺 Cuba is Weak 🇨🇾 Cyprus is Weak 🇨🇿 Czech Republic is Stable 🇨🇩 Democratic Republic Of The Congo is Unstable 🇩🇰 Denmark is Stable 🇩🇯 Djibouti is Stable 🇩🇲 Dominica is Stable 🇩🇴 Dominican Republic is Weak 🇹🇱 East Timor is Weak 🇪🇨 Ecuador is Unstable 🇪🇬 Egypt is Weak 🇸🇻 El Salvador is Weak 🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea is Unstable 🇪🇷 Eritrea is Weak 🇪🇪 Estonia is Stable 🇸🇿 Eswatini is Weak 🇪🇹 Ethiopia is Unstable 🇫🇲 Federated States of Micronesia is Stable 🇫🇯 Fiji is Stable 🇫🇮 Finland is Stable 🇫🇷 France is Weak 🇬🇦 Gabon is Unstable 🇬🇪 Georgia is Weak 🇩🇪 Germany is Weak 🇬🇭 Ghana is Stable 🇬🇷 Greece is Weak 🇬🇩 Grenada is Stable 🇬🇹 Guatemala is Weak 🇬🇳 Guinea is Unstable 🇬🇼 Guinea-Bissau is Unstable 🇬🇾 Guyana is Stable 🇭🇹 Haiti is Critically Unstable 🇭🇳 Honduras is Unstable 🇭🇺 Hungary is Stable 🇮🇸 Iceland is Stable 🇮🇳 India is Weak 🇮🇩 Indonesia is Weak 🇮🇷 Iran is Weak 🇮🇶 Iraq is Unstable 🇮🇪 Ireland is Weak 🇮🇱 Israel is Weak 🇮🇹 Italy is Weak 🇨🇮 Ivory Coast is Weak 🇯🇲 Jamaica is Stable 🇯🇵 Japan is Stable 🇯🇴 Jordan is Stable 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan is Weak 🇰🇪 Kenya is Weak 🇰🇮 Kiribati is Weak 🇰🇼 Kuwait is Weak 🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan is Weak 🇱🇦 Laos is Weak 🇱🇻 Latvia is Stable 🇱🇧 Lebanon is Unstable 🇱🇸 Lesotho is Weak 🇱🇷 Liberia is Weak 🇱🇾 Libya is Unstable 🇱🇮 Liechtenstein is Stable | 🇱🇹 Lithuania is Stable 🇱🇺 Luxembourg is Stable 🇲🇰 Macedonia is Stable 🇲🇬 Madagascar is Weak 🇲🇼 Malawi is Weak 🇲🇾 Malaysia is Stable 🇲🇻 Maldives is Stable 🇲🇱 Mali is Unstable 🇲🇹 Malta is Stable 🇲🇭 Marshall Islands is Weak 🇲🇷 Mauritania is Weak 🇲🇺 Mauritius is Stable 🇲🇽 Mexico is Weak 🇲🇩 Moldova is Weak 🇲🇨 Monaco is Stable 🇲🇳 Mongolia is Stable 🇲🇪 Montenegro is Weak 🇲🇦 Morocco is Stable 🇲🇿 Mozambique is Weak 🇲🇲 Myanmar is Unstable 🇳🇦 Namibia is Stable 🇳🇷 Nauru is Weak 🇳🇵 Nepal is Weak 🇳🇱 Netherlands is Stable 🇳🇿 New Zealand is Stable 🇳🇮 Nicaragua is Unstable 🇳🇪 Niger is Unstable 🇳🇬 Nigeria is Weak 🇰🇵 North Korea is Unstable 🇳🇴 Norway is Stable 🇴🇲 Oman is Stable 🇵🇰 Pakistan is Weak 🇵🇼 Palau is Stable 🇵🇦 Panama is Stable 🇵🇬 Papua New Guinea is Weak 🇵🇾 Paraguay is Stable 🇵🇪 Peru is Weak 🇵🇭 Philippines is Weak 🇵🇱 Poland is Stable 🇵🇹 Portugal is Stable 🇶🇦 Qatar is Stable 🇨🇬 Republic of the Congo is Unstable 🇷🇴 Romania is Weak 🇷🇺 Russia is Weak 🇷🇼 Rwanda is Weak 🇰🇳 Saint Kitts and Nevis is Weak 🇱🇨 Saint Lucia is Weak 🇻🇨 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines is Stable 🇼🇸 Samoa is Weak 🇸🇲 San Marino is Stable 🇸🇹 São Tomé and Príncipe is Stable 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia is Weak 🇸🇳 Senegal is Stable 🇷🇸 Serbia is Unstable 🇸🇱 Sierra Leone is Weak 🇸🇬 Singapore is Stable 🇸🇰 Slovakia is Stable 🇸🇮 Slovenia is Stable 🇸🇧 Solomon Islands is Weak 🇸🇴 Somalia is Unstable 🇿🇦 South Africa is Weak 🇰🇷 South Korea is Stable 🇸🇸 South Sudan is Critically Unstable 🇪🇸 Spain is Weak 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka is Weak 🇸🇩 Sudan is Unstable 🇸🇷 Suriname is Weak 🇸🇪 Sweden is Stable 🇨🇭 Switzerland is Stable 🇸🇾 Syria is Critically Unstable 🇹🇼 Taiwan is Stable 🇹🇯 Tajikistan is Weak 🇹🇿 Tanzania is Weak 🇹🇭 Thailand is Weak 🇧🇸 The Bahamas is Weak 🇬🇲 The Gambia is Weak 🇹🇬 Togo is Weak 🇹🇴 Tonga is Weak 🇹🇹 Trinidad and Tobago is Weak 🇹🇳 Tunisia is Weak 🇹🇷 Turkey is Weak 🇹🇲 Turkmenistan is Weak 🇹🇻 Tuvalu is Stable 🇺🇬 Uganda is Weak 🇺🇦 Ukraine is Unstable 🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates is Stable 🇬🇧 United Kingdom is Stable 🇺🇸 United States Of America is Weak 🇺🇾 Uruguay is Stable 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan is Stable 🇻🇺 Vanuatu is Weak 🇻🇪 Venezuela is Unstable 🇻🇳 Vietnam is Stable 🇪🇭 Western Sahara is Unstable 🇾🇪 Yemen is Critically Unstable 🇿🇲 Zambia is Stable 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe is Weak |
Carpe tomorrow!
