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- Thursday SITREP: Asia and Oceania Focus
Thursday SITREP: Asia and Oceania Focus
Putin Vows Military Resolution in Ukraine, Sudan Landslide Kills 1,000+ in Darfur
Good morning,
🇺🇦 Putin Vows Military Resolution in Ukraine
Russian President Putin said Russia will "resolve all our tasks militarily" if Ukraine doesn't agree to a deal, rejecting ceasefire calls while hinting at potential talks with Zelensky by suggesting he "could always go to Moscow" - an idea Ukraine's foreign minister called "knowingly unacceptable." Speaking from Beijing after attending China's military parade, Putin repeated demands for Ukraine to abandon NATO membership and stop alleged discrimination against ethnic Russians, while stressing Russia won't relinquish the occupied Donbas region. Trump said Putin "knows where I stand" and threatened additional sanctions phases beyond targeting India for Russian oil purchases, as UK Defence Secretary Healey announced £1 billion in seized Russian assets would be recycled into Ukrainian military aid, calling it "Putin's dirty money returned with interest." More - BBC
🇸🇩 Sudan Landslide Kills 1,000+ in Darfur
A landslide completely destroyed the village of Tarasin in Sudan's Darfur region, killing over 1,000 people with only one survivor after heavy rainfall in the remote Marrah Mountains accessible only by foot or donkey. The Sudan Liberation Movement/Army controlling the area appealed for UN and international aid to recover bodies, while the disaster struck amid Sudan's brutal three-year civil war that has made much of the region a "black hole" for humanitarian response according to Doctors Without Borders. The tragedy compounds Sudan's humanitarian crisis with famine already declared in parts of Darfur, as fighting escalates between government forces and the RSF paramilitary group, with el-Fasher under siege for over a year as the last major army-held population center in the region.More - Al Jazeera
Asia Stability Ratings and News Summary
More Unstable
🇦🇫 Afghanistan, 🇦🇲 Armenia, 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan, 🇧🇩 Bangladesh, 🇧🇹 Bhutan, 🇰🇭 Cambodia, 🇨🇳 China, 🇹🇱 East Timor, 🇬🇪 Georgia, 🇮🇳 India, 🇮🇩 Indonesia, 🇯🇵 Japan, 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan, 🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan, 🇲🇲 Myanmar, 🇳🇵 Nepal, 🇰🇵 North Korea, 🇵🇰 Pakistan, 🇵🇭 Philippines, 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka, 🇹🇼 Taiwan, 🇹🇯 Tajikistan, 🇹🇭 Thailand, 🇹🇲 Turkmenistan
More Stable
No countries were more stable over this period
Unchanged
🇧🇳 Brunei, 🇱🇦 Laos, 🇲🇾 Malaysia, 🇲🇻 Maldives, 🇲🇳 Mongolia, 🇸🇬 Singapore, 🇰🇷 South Korea, 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan, 🇻🇳 Vietnam
Regional News Summary
In Singapore, inflation has eased to 0.6% in July, the lowest rate since January 2021, driven by declines in food, transport, and housing prices. This economic relief comes as the stock market showed resilience, extending previous gains despite initial predictions of a downturn. In the finance sector, 2C2P has secured a major payment institution license, while Abaxx is fostering collaboration in Asia's natural gas and energy markets by facilitating a delegation from the China City Gas Association [SOURCE - CNBC].
Meanwhile, Singapore's Thomson Medical is set to invest $4.3 billion in a mixed-use project in Malaysia, signaling robust cross-border business activity. Singtel has also been recognized as the Company of the Year in Singapore and Southeast Asia for its leadership in managed services and connectivity solutions [SOURCE - Forbes].
In defense, Singapore and Malaysia have signed a submarine rescue cooperation agreement, reinforcing their longstanding ties while addressing undersea infrastructure and cybersecurity concerns [SOURCE - The Sun].
Environmental issues have also emerged, with Singapore beginning construction on a new loading facility for trucked LNG and investigating unusual green water in a canal, raising ecological concerns [SOURCE - Malay Mail].
In Vietnam, Typhoon Kajiki has wreaked havoc, causing flooding and landslides, leading to the evacuation of thousands and the closure of airports [SOURCE - Asiaone]. Concurrently, the Vietnamese government is overhauling its education system, aiming for a top 20 global ranking by 2045, with a focus on improving teacher training and promoting English language skills [SOURCE - VnExpress].
In China, diplomatic efforts are intensifying, with Foreign Minister Wang Yi emphasizing the importance of head-of-state diplomacy in U.S.-China relations. President Xi Jinping is set to meet with leaders from India and Russia, highlighting the need for cooperation to stabilize the global economy [SOURCE - ECNS]. However, tensions persist, particularly with Japan over a disputed gas field in the East China Sea, where Japan has lodged protests against China's claims [SOURCE - Manila Times].
The humanitarian situation in Afghanistan remains dire, with the UNHCR warning of a crisis affecting millions of refugees expelled from neighboring countries. Rights groups are urging Germany to relocate Afghan refugees from Pakistan, citing inhumane conditions [SOURCE - Khaama].
In Indonesia, mass protests have erupted over police brutality and corruption, resulting in clashes with authorities. President Joko Widodo has called for calm while also restricting social media to quell unrest [SOURCE - Livemint].
Lastly, in Myanmar, the military government is preparing for elections deemed illegitimate by many, as it continues to declare ethnic rebels as terrorists amid rising tensions [SOURCE - Japan Today].
Oceania Stability Ratings and News Summary
More Unstable
🇦🇺 Australia, 🇰🇮 Kiribati, 🇲🇭 Marshall Islands, 🇳🇷 Nauru, 🇵🇬 Papua New Guinea, 🇼🇸 Samoa, 🇸🇧 Solomon Islands, 🇹🇴 Tonga, 🇻🇺 Vanuatu
More Stable
No countries were more stable over this period
Unchanged
🇫🇲 Federated States of Micronesia, 🇫🇯 Fiji, 🇳🇿 New Zealand, 🇵🇼 Palau, 🇹🇻 Tuvalu
Regional News Summary
Tensions between Australia and Iran have reached a boiling point, culminating in Australia's expulsion of the Iranian ambassador over allegations of state-directed antisemitic attacks. This unprecedented diplomatic move has led to reciprocal expulsions of Iranian diplomats from Australia, further escalating the conflict. The Australian government has accused Iran of orchestrating antisemitic arson attacks, while Israel claims that its intelligence agency, Mossad, played a role in uncovering an IRGC plot that prompted the ambassador's expulsion. However, Australia has dismissed these claims, asserting that its decision was based on its own intelligence assessments [SOURCE - BBC].
In the realm of trade, Australia Post has suspended most parcel shipments to the United States due to tariff complications, impacting global carriers and small businesses alike. This decision reflects the broader economic shifts as Australia seeks to strengthen its partnership with India, with expectations of increased investment amid the ongoing tariff chaos. Additionally, Pacific Green has secured a AU$77 million debt facility aimed at accelerating the development of its battery energy storage system, a move anticipated to bolster Australia's renewable energy sector [SOURCE - The Hindu].
Amidst these developments, thousands of Australians have participated in pro-Palestinian rallies, calling for greater government action in light of the escalating diplomatic tensions with Israel. Concurrently, the Australian government has finalized a $400 million deal with Nauru to resettle individuals lacking legal status in Australia, marking a significant step in addressing immigration challenges [SOURCE - ABC].
Turning to New Zealand, the government has taken a firm stance against Iran, with Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters unequivocally condemning its actions. This marks a notable shift in New Zealand's foreign policy, reinforcing its commitment to global peace and security. In a positive development, New Zealand has been ranked as the fourth most peaceful country in the world, surpassing major nations such as China and the United States [SOURCE - RNZ].
Economically, New Zealand is introducing a new visa for business investors aimed at attracting baby boomers, which experts believe will stimulate growth and foreign investment. However, Air New Zealand is grappling with declining profits due to rising costs and maintenance issues, while NZ Post has resumed parcel shipments to the US for businesses following tariff adjustments [SOURCE - RNZ].
In Fiji, Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka's recent visit to India has strengthened bilateral ties, resulting in several agreements focused on healthcare, agriculture, and renewable energy cooperation. Rabuka expressed support for India's position amidst the ongoing US tariff disputes, emphasizing solidarity between the two nations [SOURCE - Free Press Journal].
Meanwhile, Tuvalu faces an existential threat from climate change, with rising sea levels and increased natural disasters jeopardizing its very existence. The country has called for global cooperation to address these challenges, highlighting the urgent need for developed nations to take responsibility for their carbon emissions [SOURCE - Al Jazeera].
In the Marshall Islands, a devastating fire has destroyed the parliament complex, raising suspicions about potential political motivations behind the blaze. This incident adds to the ongoing political and social challenges faced by the nation [SOURCE - Radio New Zealand].
Carpe tomorrow!
