Tuesday SITREP: Americas Focus

Hundreds Killed in Gaza Strikes, Trump Deportations backlash and Netanyahu Moves to Fire head of Shin Bet

Good morning.

๐Ÿ“ž US President Trump and Russian Putin will have a direct phone call today (morning ET) to discuss the proposed peace plan for Ukraine.

Three headlines to kick off your Tuesday.

๐Ÿ’ฅ Breaking: Extensive Israeli Strikes Across Gaza Kill Over 300

Beginning at 0200 local, Israel conducted extensive strikes across Gaza hitting 35 targets across the strip. Several senior Hamas leaders were killed in the strikes, along with hundreds of civilians. Israel also issued evacuation notices, establishing a โ€˜red zoneโ€™ along the entire Gaza border, forcing thousands of families to move. The strikes came after two months of relative peace during Phase One of a ceasefire when the hostage and prisoner changes took place, and aid was allowed back into the Gaza Strip. BBC - Live Updates 

Backgroundโ€”Phase Two implementation talks had stalled as Israel has been pushing for an extension of the Phase One ceasefire, while Hamas negotiators wanted to continue to Phase Two, which would move both parties to a more lasting peace and eventually a permanent ceasefire.

In statements last night, Israel accused Hamas โ€œ[repeated refusal of] the proposal to extend the ceasefire and release our hostages" adding "From this point forward, Israel will act against Hamas with increasing military intensity,"

However, a wide range of international leaders and groups are condemning the strikes, blaming Israel for killing the talks, while the families of Israeli hostages are accusing Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu of abandoning the remaining hostages.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netanyahu Moves to Fire Domestic Intelligence Head

Netanyahu moved to fire Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar, an unprecedented action against Israel's domestic security agency head, amid investigations into the Prime Minister's advisers for allegedly receiving Qatari payments. Bar refused to resign, citing "sensitive investigations" and hostage recovery efforts, while Israel's attorney general warned the dismissal may be illegal due to Netanyahu's conflict of interest. More - Axios

๐Ÿ›ซ White House deportation clash

The White House defied a judge's order to halt deportations of 261 alleged gang members to El Salvador, claiming the ruling came too late and "had no legal basis." Trump invoked the rarely-used 1798 Alien Enemies Act to justify the removals, sparking constitutional concerns about executive power and due process. More - BBC

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Americas Stability Ratings and News Summary

More Unstable

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท Argentina, ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฟ Belize, ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ด Bolivia, ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil, ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada, ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Chile, ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ด Colombia, ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡บ Cuba, ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ด Dominican Republic, ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡จ Ecuador, ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ป El Salvador, ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡น Guatemala, ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡น Haiti, ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ณ Honduras, ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Jamaica, ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico, ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Nicaragua, ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฆ Panama, ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡พ Paraguay, ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ช Peru, ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡จ Saint Lucia, ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท Suriname, ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ธ The Bahamas, ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡น Trinidad and Tobago, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States Of America, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡พ Uruguay, ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ช Venezuela

More Stable

No countries were more stable over this period

Unchanged

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Antigua and Barbuda, ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ง Barbados, ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ท Costa Rica, ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Dominica, ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Grenada, ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡พ Guyana, ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ณ Saint Kitts and Nevis, ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡จ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Regional News Summary

Brazil's economy is currently navigating a complex landscape marked by both growth and contraction. On one hand, the country's grain output is projected to reach a historic 323.8 million tons by 2025, reflecting a robust agricultural sector. However, the services sector has shown signs of strain, contracting by 0.2% in January amid rising interest rates. This duality is further complicated by trade tensions, particularly stemming from the Trump administration's 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, which have prompted criticism of President Lula's handling of the situation. Meanwhile, Brazil's auto sector has seen a resurgence, with production hitting a five-year high in February, indicating resilience in certain industries despite broader economic challenges [SOURCE - The Rio Times].

In the political arena, Brazil's landscape remains contentious. President Lula faces backlash for his response to U.S. tariffs, while the country's top court prepares to deliberate on a case against former President Bolsonaro, which could have significant implications for Brazil's political future [SOURCE - Breitbart].

Environmental issues have also taken center stage, with Brazil criticized for deforestation linked to preparations for a climate summit. In contrast, Sรฃo Paulo's tourism sector is projected to drive a $57 billion economic surge by 2025, showcasing the potential for growth in sustainable industries [SOURCE - Times of India].

As Brazil grapples with these challenges, Mexico is facing its own set of issues, particularly in trade relations with the United States. President Claudia Sheinbaum has opted not to retaliate against U.S. steel tariffs until April, a strategic decision aimed at de-escalating tensions. However, the impact of these tariffs is already being felt, with some SNAP recipients in New Mexico at risk of losing benefits [SOURCE - Foreign Policy in Focus].

Despite these tensions, Mexico has seen positive economic developments, including a $670 million investment from Mabe, a local company, and the establishment of an AI bootcamp in Mexico City to meet the growing demand in the tech sector [SOURCE - Mexico News Daily]. However, crime remains a significant concern, highlighted by the recent capture of a top drug trafficker and the ongoing issue of missing children, which underscores the dangers faced by families searching for loved ones [SOURCE - El Paรญs].

In Argentina, economic forecasts predict an inflation rate of 23.3% and a growth rate of 4.8% for 2025, as the country seeks to stabilize its economy through an IMF deal. However, protests have erupted over budget cuts, leading to violent clashes between demonstrators and police [SOURCE - Rio Times]. The political landscape is equally tumultuous, with former President Pedro Castillo going on hunger strike to protest his detention amid a broader political crisis [SOURCE - MercoPress].

Venezuela's migration crisis continues to evolve, with the government resuming repatriation flights for irregular migrants in the U.S. This decision follows a crackdown on Venezuelan migrants by the Trump administration, exacerbating the ongoing humanitarian crisis [SOURCE - MercoPress]. (See the headlines for more on US deportations of Venezuelans.)

Additionally, Venezuela is strengthening ties with Russia, as both countries prepare to sign a strategic partnership agreement [SOURCE - TASS].

In Colombia, the government is grappling with rising violence, prompting measures to address the situation. A recent incident involving the shooting of a Colombian diplomat in Brazil highlights the security concerns faced by diplomatic personnel [SOURCE - The Rio Times].

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